July 26, 2022 @ 7:27 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, KO, MCD |
With Walmart (WMT) shares down 7.74% as of noon New York time today, July 26, on the company’s warning yesterday about falling revenue, the pool of safe consumer stocks continues to shrink. Which is bad if you owned Walmart or Dollar General (DG), also down...
July 26, 2022 @ 7:15 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
At the close today, July 26, the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN) was up 2.55% and the Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT) was ahead 4.11% Both of those commodity plays outgained the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) with its 1.38% move higher. But for consistent gains–and the...
July 20, 2022 @ 11:06 pm | Breaking News, COP, Jubak Picks Portfolio, LNG, Volatility |
There are the base-load power plants that run all the time and meet the bulk of normal electricity demand. And then there are the power plants that are only intermittently called into service when demand spikes. In the United States the majority of the plants used to...
July 18, 2022 @ 7:43 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, WEAT |
My one-hundred-and-fifty-ninth YouTube video “Trend of the Week Hedging with Commodities Lives” went up today. The strong dollar has knocked commodity plays around. But the reasons for buying these hedges still hold. Inflation. Supply shortages (especially...
July 12, 2022 @ 6:47 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, UUP |
In my July 7 YouTube video: “Quick Pick UUP” I added the Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) to my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. (To replace the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) in that portfolio. More on that in another post today.)...
June 29, 2022 @ 11:43 pm | Breaking News, COST, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, KO, PEP, WMT |
It’s not surprising given the greater than expected decline in U.S. first quarter GDP reported on Wednesday, which followed on the slump in consumer confidence reported Tuesday, that stocks in the consumer staples sector outperformed both consumer discretionary...
June 28, 2022 @ 10:21 pm | Breaking News, COP, EQNR, Jubak Picks Portfolio, UNG, Volatility, WEAT |
The Conference Board’s latest reading on consumer confidence showed consumer expectations in June fell to their lowest level since 2013. The consumer confidence index for June fell to 98.7 from 103.2 in May, below expectations for a reading of 100. The...
June 23, 2022 @ 7:58 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
My one-hundred-and-forty-ninth YouTube video “Quick Pick: Cheniere Energy” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquified natural gas producer that I currently own in my Volatility Portfolio on JubakAM.com and plan to add to...
June 20, 2022 @ 7:37 pm | BKNG, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
As I noted in my “Bear Growls Louder for Consumer Stocks” post, consumer spending on services is looking weaker by the day and consumers seem to be trimming plans for summer travel. Bookings are slowing at airlines and hotels, for example. And it looks...
June 17, 2022 @ 7:32 pm | Breaking News, Buy Hold Sell, Jubak Picks Portfolio, UNG |
I’m using the continued weakness in natural gas prices and in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) to add the shares to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. The U.S. Natural Gas Fund was down another 5.90% today to close at $23.78. A fire at the Freeport LNG facility, which...
June 16, 2022 @ 4:56 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, UNG |
My one-hundred-and-forty-sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick U.S. Natural Gas Fund–update” went up today. The fire at the Freeport Liquified Natural Gas facility has disrupted U.S exports of natural gas. That’s resulted in a short-term glut in U.S....
June 16, 2022 @ 4:32 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, UNG, WEAT |
Yesterday, the stock market was up with the Standard & Poor’s 500 gaining 1.46% on the day and the NASDAQ Composite up 2.49%. Listening to the Federal Reserve’s policy statement after the June 15 meeting of its Open Market Committee, Wall Street chose...
June 7, 2022 @ 7:42 pm | Breaking News, COST, Jubak Picks Portfolio, WMT |
Target (TGT) cut its profit outlook for the second time in three weeks. The company will attack oaring inventories in discretionary categories such as home furnishings with price mark downs, cancelling orders from vendors, and “off-loading excess inventory. (To...
June 6, 2022 @ 7:49 pm | ALB, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio |
My one-hundredth-and-forty-first YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Danger of a Lithium Drought” went up today. My Trend of the Week video looks at the effects of Chile’s 15-year drought on global lithium production and prices. In particular, I look...
June 2, 2022 @ 10:34 pm | Breaking News, DAL, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
So far it’s unanimous: On Wednesday, June 1, Delta Air Lines (DAL) joined United Airlines (UAL) and Southwest (LUV) in projecting rising demand in the second quarter, higher fuel costs, and staffing shortages severe enough to lead to cuts in flights. Delta said...
May 31, 2022 @ 7:44 pm | Breaking News, COP, Jubak Picks Portfolio, PXD |
The European Union has finally found a way to agree on a partial ban on oil imports from Russia. The group has agreed to an immediate ban on imports arriving by sea. That covers about two-thirds of Russian imports. To get Hungary’s vote for the partial ban, the...
May 25, 2022 @ 4:48 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, WEAT |
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick WEAT” went up today. I’m continuing my recent focus on wheat prices as they continue to rise. Higher wheat prices are the result of a perfect storm: the ongoing war in Ukraine, a blockade of...
May 24, 2022 @ 6:39 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio |
Snap (SNAP), the online company best known for its SnapChat platform, closed down 43.08% today, May 24. On April 21 when the company released its first quarter earnings report, the company had forecast second quarter revenue growth of 20% to 25%. That was already...
May 20, 2022 @ 3:13 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PANW |
I’m actually surprised that shares of cyber-security company Palo Alto Networks (PANW) rose only 10.7% in after-hours trading after the company reported adjusted fiscal third quarter earnings of $1.79 a share. That was ahead of the adjusted earnings of $1.68 a...
May 20, 2022 @ 2:15 pm | Breaking News, DBA, JJA, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
I expect volatility out of any position in commodities–especially in this economy with war raging in Ukraine and sanctions raining down on Russia. And I welcome the volatility–it’s what I buy commodities for right now–as long as I get paid for...
May 19, 2022 @ 6:39 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, USB |
Back on April 11 when I sold Wells Fargo (WFC) and the Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) out of portfolios to reduce my exposure to a slowing economy caused by the Federal Reserve interest rate increases, I kept my position in U.S. Bancorp (USB) because I wanted to collect...
May 19, 2022 @ 6:35 pm | Breaking News, JJA, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-seventh YouTube video “Quick Pick Invesco Agriculture ETF” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is the Invesco DB Agriculture ETF. If you follow me my JubakPicks.com and JubakAm.com sites, you’ll know I’ve been...
May 18, 2022 @ 5:12 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, KO, PEP |
Ok, the bad news on profit margins from Target (TGT) was a big deal. No argument. When you’re operating margin falls to 5.37% when Wall Street was projecting 9.5%, it’s a big deal. And after yesterday’s earnings miss from Walmart (WMT), it’s...
May 18, 2022 @ 3:48 pm | Breaking News, COST, Jubak Picks Portfolio, WMT |
As of 3:30 p.m. Wednesday May 18 shares of Target (TGT) were down 25% for the day after the company reported a big earnings miss for the first quarter. Let’s be clear. The sales picture at Target was very positive for the quarter. Same store sales were up 3.3%...
May 17, 2022 @ 11:47 pm | ALB, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Volatility |
New registrations for electric vehicles jumped 60% in the first quarter of 2022 from the first quarter of 2021. according to Experian Automotive. Electric vehicles made up an all-time record 4.6% of the total market. The news was even more positive given that overall...
May 17, 2022 @ 11:37 pm | BABA, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, TCEHY, Volatility |
Today, Tuesday May 17, China’s top economic official, Vice Premier Liu He, said that the government will support the development of digital economy companies and their public stock listings. The comments delivered after a symposium with the CEOs of some of the...
May 17, 2022 @ 5:47 pm | ALB, Breaking News, DE, FQVLF, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, MRVL, NVDA, SCCO, USB |
In my weekend Saturday Night Quarterback on my subscription JubakAM.com site I said that this week would, probably, answer the question of whether Friday’s big bounce was just a bounce, the start of a buy on the dip rally, or even a bear market rally with a bit...
May 15, 2022 @ 10:14 pm | AES, Breaking News, CRWD, Dividend Income Portfolio, GNRC, Jubak Picks Portfolio, OKTA, WCC |
I don’t know if Friday’s bounce will continue into the new week. I think the summer season is likely to be positive for revenue at many companies–travel, airlines, Las Vegas–but I don’t like the longer term fundamentals in the economy....
May 9, 2022 @ 10:37 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PEP |
Last week PepsiCo (PEP) declared a quarterly dividend of $1.15 a share, up about 7% from $1.075 a share. That brings the dividend yield up to 2.7%, almost exactly Coca-Cola’s (KO) 2.72% yield. On the basis of that yield and the pricing power that the company...
May 9, 2022 @ 10:02 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, Jubak Picks Portfolio, PXD, You May Have Missed |
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-second YouTube video “Trend of the Week Give “Em the Cash” went up today. So far, so good this earnings season: oil and natural gas producers are holding the line on capital spending on new production, as they promised,...