If you’re looking for a highly leveraged play on the worst case scenario in the Strait of Hormuz, I think it’s natural gas and not oil
No one knows, of course, how the attack on Iran will play out in either the medium or long term. The energy and financial markets were closed for the weekend, so they’ve given us relatively subdued feedback on the events. It will be “interesting” to see on Monday how...
Next 2 picks in my Special Report on the energy crisis: BEPC and LNG
Call this bookkeeping to make sure everyone is on the same page. Last week I made two picks for my Special Report on the 3 energy crises for the NOW stage in this crisis: BEPC and LNG. Here’s what I wrote on my JubakAM.Com subscription site: My second pick for the NOW...
OPEC+ “considers” cutting oil production and oil and oil stocks surge today
All it takes is a report that OPEC+, the group of oil-producing countries that includes Saudi Arabia and Russia, is considering a big cut in production at its meeting this week to send oil and oil stocks off to the races. As of noon New York time, on Monday, U.S....
Natural gas, corn, and wheat lead commodities higher today
At the close today, July 26, the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN) was up 2.55% and the Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT) was ahead 4.11% Both of those commodity plays outgained the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) with its 1.38% move higher. But for consistent gains–and the...
Remember, natural gas isn’t just for heating; air conditioning demand sends natural gas for August delivery up 10.2% today
There are the base-load power plants that run all the time and meet the bulk of normal electricity demand. And then there are the power plants that are only intermittently called into service when demand spikes. In the United States the majority of the plants used to...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Cheniere Energy
My one-hundred-and-forty-ninth YouTube video “Quick Pick: Cheniere Energy” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquified natural gas producer that I currently own in my Volatility Portfolio on JubakAM.com and plan to add to...
EU agrees to partial ban–66%–of Russian oil imports
The European Union has finally found a way to agree on a partial ban on oil imports from Russia. The group has agreed to an immediate ban on imports arriving by sea. That covers about two-thirds of Russian imports. To get Hungary’s vote for the partial ban, the...
Natural gas prices soar–no summer slump in prices this year thanks to war in Ukraine
Normally at this time of year natural gas prices retreat and companies actually stash natural gas in storage for use during hurricane outages in the fall and winter heating season. Not this year, however. Today natural gas prices in the U.S. hit a new 18-year high. At...
Another round of higher oil prices headed our way
Today, April 21, reports from a number of different sources are pointing to lower oil production–which will mean higher oil prices. Even from current levels. And oil prices are significantly higher in the past three weeks. At 3:00 p.m. New York time today U.S....
Stocks rally on bad inflation news in the morning and then give it all back (on second thoughts) in the afternoon
As of noon New York time today, April 12, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.47% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average had gained 0.34%. The NASDAQ Composite was higher by 0.73% and the NASDAQ 100 had moved up by 0.67%. The small cap Russell 2000 had tacked...
Please watch my new YouTube video: “Time to buy oil on the dip”
My one-hundredth-and -nineteenth YouTube video “Time to buy oil on the dip” went up today. We’ve had a pretty good dip over the last few days in oil prices. I think that comes from a trading pullback from a quick run-up in prices, as well as optimism...
Yesterday’s optimism about a cease fire in Ukraine and peace talks turns back into pessimism (realism?) today
Hopes for a cease fire in Ukraine and for serious peace talks between Russia and Ukraine took the stock indexes up yesterday and the price of oil and oil stocks down. News of renewed Russian shelling and that Russian troops were redeploying rather than withdrawing...
Please Watch my YouTube video: Trend of the Week: Don’t sell those oil stocks yet
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and sixteen YouTube video “Don’t Sell Your Oil Stocks Yet” went up today. Don’t sell those oil stocks yet! Back at the beginning...
Oil is up, stocks (outside energy) are down–how long will this anti-correlation last?
Oil rallied again today with U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate up 4.79% on the day to $114.79 a barrel and international benchmark Brent up 5.12% to $121.39 a barrel. So, naturally, oil and gas equities stocks are up today. And the broader market is down. What...
For investors hedging the Ukraine/Russia conflict, here’s my best estimate of what’s next
If you believe as I do that one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s goals in igniting the current conflict in Ukraine was to attempt to use Europe’s dependency on Russia natural gas to drive a wedge among NATO members, the most recent developments make a...
Oil moves toward $95 a barrel on rising Ukraine war fears
International benchmark Brent crude jumped as much as 4.7% to $95 a barrel for the first time since 2014. Brent was up 23.68% and trading at $94.77 at 3 p.m. New York time Friday. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate, which normally trades below Brent in price, was...
Oil breaks above $90 for first time since 2014
On Thursday, Feburary 3, U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose above $90 a barrel–it closed at $90.87, up 0.60% for the day, for the first time since 2014. International benchmark Brent crude gained 0.42% to close at $91.53 a barrel. Of course, it...
Putting on hedges for a Russia-Ukraine conflict today (as in NOW)
I only recommend options on my subscription sites JubakAm.Com and JugglingWithknives.com. And this week on those sites I’ve closed the two VIX CALL Options I bought back on December 31 as protection (and potential profits) from an increase in market volatility...
The squeeze on the U.S. shale patch just keeps getting worse–selling Cheniere Energy out of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio
The second quarter of the year is, historically, the weakest quarter for global demand for natural gas. That’s not a good forecast since the global glut of natural gas has already gotten so large that U.S. exporters of liquified natural gas have no place to send...
LNG from Cheniere dead in the sights of trade war with China–short term I’d think about selling; long term I’d just hang on
LNG (liquified natural gas) from Cheniere Energy (LNG) is one of the U.S. exports most in danger in the newest round of the U.S.-China trade war. Reflective of that the stock was down 3.57%, or $2.42 a share, as of 2 p.m. New York time, to $65.45. That has taken the...
Tariffs up, talks end, Chinese retaliation next
Whatever the ultimate end point of the trade talks between the United State and China, the next step is almost certainly the announcement of retaliatory measures by China in the wake of the Trump administration’s decision to raise tariffs on $200 billion of...
More cash flow ahead for 50 Stocks pick Cheniere Energy
At the moment everything is running Cheniere Energy’s (LNG) way. And while natural gas remains a cyclical sector and subject to the ebbs and flows of global growth, catalysts are very strong for this member of 50 Stocks Portfolio. Catalysts? Let me count them...
Selling Cheniere Energy out of my Jubak Picks portfolio on China trade war
Back when President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping were best buds they announced a deal in principle that would expand Chinese purchases of liquified natural gas from the United States in general and Cheniere Energy (LNG) in particular. I think we can assume...
Cheniere Energy reports third quarter earnings below consensus but revenues show a strong beat–I’m raising my target price to $62
Yesterday Cheniere Energy (LNG) reported a loss for the third quarter of $1.24 a share, 74 cents a share worse that the Wall Street consensus. Revenue climbed 202% hear over year to $1.4 billion against Wall Street projections of $1.27 billion. The company also...
Natural gas stocks up today on rise in LNG prices in Asia
Shares of natural gas producers and liquefied natural gas exporters climbed strongly today as prices for liquefied natural gas in Asia rose to s seven-month high in reaction to the damaged inflicted on Gulf Coast terminals by Hurricane Harvey. It didn’t hurt...
One less worry hanging over shares of Jubak Pick Cheniere Energy
One worry hanging over shares of Cheniere Energy (LNG), the first company to get an unrestricted license to export liquified natural gas (LNG) to any country in the world, was what would happen if some of the customers that signed a long-term contract to buy LNG from...
Two big deals for Cheniere Energy
Cheniere Energy (LNG) has a significant first-mover advantage, I argued upon picking this stock for my Jubak Picks portfolio, since it was the first U.S. company to get a unrestricted permit to export liquified natural gas. Turning that advantage into revenue and...
Cheniere Energy pops on possibility of increased China exports
Earlier this week the Trump administration announced that it had reached an agreement with China to increase market access for U.S. energy companies. Today Cheniere Energy (LNG) noted that it has had extensive negotiations with Chinese state-owned companies about...
Raising my target price on Jubak Picks Cheniere Energy
Update December 9, 2016 The Cheniere Energy story is pretty simple. The company got the first license to export liquified natural gas from the United States, locked in long-term contracts for its Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi terminals, and then waited for revenue to...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
Every post from Jubak Picks straight to your mailbox. And they're free!