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Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said today that he anticipates that “ordinary” Americans–that is those without priorities for receiving a coronavirus vaccine because of age or underlying health conditions or employment as a healthcare worker–will start getting access to a vaccine in April. Assuming that large numbers of Americans decide to get vaccinated, most will have received a shot before the end of August. That would result in herd immunity in the United States by the fall of 2021.

“That means you would have herd immunity that would allow you to safely get people back to school in the fall, to safely get people back to the kinds of work that would otherwise be difficult as you get to the middle and the end of the summer,” Fauci said today in an online news conference with Colorado governor Jared Polis.

Just one opinion, of course, but a very well informed one.