Selling a commodity ETN and replacing it with a commodity ETF in my Jubak Picks Portfolio
I expect volatility out of any position in commodities–especially in this economy with war raging in Ukraine and sanctions raining down on Russia. And I welcome the volatility–it’s what I buy commodities for right now–as long as I get paid for...
Selling U.S. Bancorp out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio
Back on April 11 when I sold Wells Fargo (WFC) and the Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) out of portfolios to reduce my exposure to a slowing economy caused by the Federal Reserve interest rate increases, I kept my position in U.S. Bancorp (USB) because I wanted to collect...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Invesco Agriculture ETF
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-seventh YouTube video “Quick Pick Invesco Agriculture ETF” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is the Invesco DB Agriculture ETF. If you follow me my JubakPicks.com and JubakAm.com sites, you’ll know I’ve been...
My candidates for gains tomorrow after some of today’s more mindless selling? Coke and Pepsi
Ok, the bad news on profit margins from Target (TGT) was a big deal. No argument. When you’re operating margin falls to 5.37% when Wall Street was projecting 9.5%, it’s a big deal. And after yesterday’s earnings miss from Walmart (WMT), it’s...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Looking for a wider credit crunch
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-sixth YouTube video “Looking for a wider credit crunch” went up today. I think last week’s video worrying about a credit crunch in the consumer economy was a bit too optimistic. I’m now seeing signs in the market of...
Inflation takes a huge bite out of Target income–and the market worries, big time
As of 3:30 p.m. Wednesday May 18 shares of Target (TGT) were down 25% for the day after the company reported a big earnings miss for the first quarter. Let’s be clear. The sales picture at Target was very positive for the quarter. Same store sales were up 3.3%...
Everything EV was up today on news of soaring new registrations
New registrations for electric vehicles jumped 60% in the first quarter of 2022 from the first quarter of 2021. according to Experian Automotive. Electric vehicles made up an all-time record 4.6% of the total market. The news was even more positive given that overall...
A day after bad news of an economic slowdown in China, officials talk up China’s Internet giants
Today, Tuesday May 17, China’s top economic official, Vice Premier Liu He, said that the government will support the development of digital economy companies and their public stock listings. The comments delivered after a symposium with the CEOs of some of the...
Today it looks more like a bear market rally
In my weekend Saturday Night Quarterback on my subscription JubakAM.com site I said that this week would, probably, answer the question of whether Friday’s big bounce was just a bounce, the start of a buy on the dip rally, or even a bear market rally with a bit...
Stocks climb this morning on good retail news, but…
Retail sales rose in April by 0.9%, the Commerce Department reported today. Sales rose in nine of 13 retail categories, including for discretionary items such as apparel, electronics, and furniture. Further buttressing the case for continued consumer spending...
My 5 sells for Monday morning
I don’t know if Friday’s bounce will continue into the new week. I think the summer season is likely to be positive for revenue at many companies–travel, airlines, Las Vegas–but I don’t like the longer term fundamentals in the economy....
Watch my YouTube video: Quick Pick Middleby
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-fourth YouTube video “Quick Pick Middleby” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is Middleby (MIDD), a company that produces restaurant equipment. I’ve been following them for 20 years, during which time they’ve...
Will today’s huge bounce continue into next week? Here’s my take and recommendations for Monday action
It’s easier to explain why stocks, especially technology stocks, staged a huge rally today, Friday May 13, than to predict whether or not the BIG BOUNCE will continue on Monday. But here’s my take and my recommendation for what to do on Monday....
Please watch my new YouTube video: “My fear is a credit crunch”
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-third YouTube video “My fear is a credit crunch” went up today. My fear is a credit crunch. I’m not as concerned with the Fed raising rates, or a recession–those are sort of run of the usual events. But a credit...
Fed’s Bullard says two 50 basis point increases and a move to 3.5% by end of year are a “good benchmark”
But did he have to say it? The financial market would prefer not to think about inflation all the time. The markets are indeed pretty good at ignoring the inconvenient. But this morning Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said out loud what Wall...
Inflation fell in April but not by as much as Wall Street had hoped
Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in April to a year over year rate of 8.3%. That was down from an 8.5% rate in March, raising hopes that the economy had seen the inflation peak. But economists had been projecting a drop to 8.0% in April. Which...
Adding PepsiCo to my Dividend Portfolio on payout increase and demonstrated pricing power
Last week PepsiCo (PEP) declared a quarterly dividend of $1.15 a share, up about 7% from $1.075 a share. That brings the dividend yield up to 2.7%, almost exactly Coca-Cola’s (KO) 2.72% yield. On the basis of that yield and the pricing power that the company...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the week Give ‘Em the Cash
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-second YouTube video “Trend of the Week Give “Em the Cash” went up today. So far, so good this earnings season: oil and natural gas producers are holding the line on capital spending on new production, as they promised,...
Will Wednesday’s CPI show April peak for inflation?
Normally, a report of 8% year over year inflation wouldn’t be considered good news for the financial markets. But in case you haven’t noticed, these aren’t normal times. Which means a report of 8% year over year inflation in April in the Consumer...
Drumroll, please: S&P 500 closes below 4,000 today
Today, the Start & Poor’s 500 closed at 3991.24. That’s below the magic 4,000 level. For weeks investors and traders, technically inclined of not, have focused on 4,000 for the Standard & Poor’s 500. Because it’s a nice round number...
First Quantum Minerals announces big copper, nickel expansion
Good timing. With copper and nickel prices near all-time highs and fears that the rapid growth of production of battery-powered cars would result in a severe nickel shortage, on Sunday First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF) announced that it would expand it Kansanshi copper...
U.S. economy adds 428,000 jobs in April; stock market says, Oh! No!
The U.S. economy aded 428,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, May 6. That matched the jobs gains in M arch and was above e the 380,000 jobs expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The official unemployment rate remained at 3.6%. Economists...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick U.S. Natural Gas Fund
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-first YouTube video “Quick Pick: U.S. Natural Gas Fund” went up today. Natural gas hit an 18-year high in the United States on Thursday, May, even as oil was sliding. Consequently I’m looking for a pick that focuses on...
Booking Holdings one of few spots of green today after earnings
Shares of Booking Holdings (BKNG) were up 3.26% as of the close in New York today, May 5, after the company announced first quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates. The company reported adjusted earnings of $3.90 a share, up from a loss of $5.26 in the first...
Please watch my new YouTube video: “Market gives Fed a raspberry”
My one-hundredth-and-thirtieth YouTube video “Market gives Fed a razzberry” went up today. Yesterday, the Fed announced that it would raise rates by 50 basis points but that it was not looking to raise by 75 at the June or July meetings. In response, the...
AMD reports solid earnings beat after close on May 3
After the close on May 3, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported first-quarter earnings of $1.13 a share, excluding one-time items. Wall Street analysts had projected earnings of 92 cents a share for the quarter. Sales rose 71% to $5.9 billion, topping projections of...
Stocks rally as Powell seems to take 75 basis point increase in June and July off the table
Today the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee announced that the central bank would raise its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points. Stocks rallied strongly after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell seemed to take off the table the 75 basis point...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the Week China’s back!
My one-hundredth-and-ninth-eighth YouTube video “Trend of the Week China’s back!” went up today. At the end of last week, the Chinese government sent signals that it would make moves to stimulate the slowing economy amid widespread lockdowns, as well...
Natural gas prices soar–no summer slump in prices this year thanks to war in Ukraine
Normally at this time of year natural gas prices retreat and companies actually stash natural gas in storage for use during hurricane outages in the fall and winter heating season. Not this year, however. Today natural gas prices in the U.S. hit a new 18-year high. At...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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