The return on my Jubak Picks Portfolio
from May 1997 through the end of 2019: 584%
Jim’s Portfolio Holdings
Jubak’s Picks
Stocks for a 12-18 Month Horizon
Performance
2019
+10.2%
2018
+10.2%
2017
+13.2%
Since Inception
+584%
Top 50 Stocks
50 Best Stocks in the World
Performance
2019
+21.19%
2018
-8.22%
2017
+28.1%
2016
+21.5%
Dividend Income
Stocks that Pay You
Performance
2021
+18.59%
2020
+15.71%
2019
+4.90%
2018
-15.52%
2017
+6.48%
2016
+26.8%
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My 10 Stocks for the AI Gold Rush–Why these picks?
I’ve made a list of the 10 stocks that I think are the best way to participate in the AI gold rush–along with the “why’s for each pick.
So how much damage is this debt ceiling fracas going to do to the economy? A deal could still cost the economy 570,000 jobs
We all know that a continued standoff on the debt ceiling would be bad for the U.S. economy and financial markets. But even a deal along current lines is going to cost jobs–lots of jobs–and take a bite out of economic growth, according to Bloomberg Economics Spending cuts expected in an eventual deal to raise the U.S. debt limit could cost the country as many as 570,000 jobs and make the recession projected by Bloomberg Economics even worse.
Everybody is busy drawing red lines in the debt ceiling talks–and they keep moving
This reporting from the Washington Post this morning makes me very pessimistic about any debt ceiling deal until after the first checks DON’T go out on June 1 or whenever. “During a closed meeting Tuesday morning at a GOP hangout a block from the U.S. Capitol,” the Post reported “House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) made a pointed plea: Do not break ranks over the debt ceiling crisis. Ahead of another round of negotiations with the White House, McCarthy told Republicans they had the upper hand in the discussions and encouraged his members to show their support for colleagues facing tough reelection bids next year as a sign of unity, according to two people in attendance, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the private talk. McCarthy urged members to make sure vulnerable lawmakers would have plenty of campaign money from GOP coffers — even pledging that they would not be outraised by their opponents in the 2024 election cycle.”
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Gold with a Copper Kicker
This week’s Trend of the Week is Gold with a Copper Kicker. Going long gold is a good way to go short on the market–gold will go up if the market goes down. Gold mining stocks also have an advantage–an upside kicker–since while mining for gold, the companies also produce a lot of copper. There is growing demand for copper in green energy products like electric vehicles. At the moment, gold stocks are trading on the price of gold alone but miners are adding to copper reserves knowing that it will be a big equity plus. I don’t think these copper kickers are priced into the stocks right now. Newmont (NEM) just purchased Newcrest, which has big copper reserves in Australia and Papua New Guinea, making Newmont not only a global gold leader but also a major producer of copper. Barrick Gold (GOLD) has also increased its copper production substantially. Gold is a great way to hedge the market in the short term, but these copper kickers have long-term upside potential as the cost of copper continues to rise.
It’s not over until it’s over: More Fed officials talk about more interest rate increases
Last week Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed could hold off on another interest rate increase at its June 14 meeting. That comment wz one reason that the CME FedWath tool showed the odds of no increase at the meeting jumping to 82.6% on Friday, May 19. But today, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard and Neel Kashkari, head of the Minneapolis Fed said, essentially, that “could” doesn’t mean will. Bullard backed two more 2023 interest-rate increases and Kashkari said if the central bank pauses next month it should signal tightening isn’t over.
Today Target echoes yesterday’s caution from Home Depot on consumer spending
Target (TGT) easily beat Wall Street earnings projections for the company’s fiscal first quarter with a report yesterday May 16 after the close with a report of $2.05 a share. Analysts were looking for $1.80 a share. Earnings were down, however, 6.2% year-over-year. But like Home Depot yesterday, Target warned that consumers are hesitant to make discretionary purchases.
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