Buying Costco: one of the few companies to benefit from higher gasoline prices
Today I’m adding Costco Wholesale (COST) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. I’m looking for stocks of companies that might actually benefit from the effects of the war with Iran on the U.S. economy. There aren’t many candidates. Costco is one. (Walmart is another but it’s...
If you’re looking for a highly leveraged play on the worst case scenario in the Strait of Hormuz, I think it’s natural gas and not oil
No one knows, of course, how the attack on Iran will play out in either the medium or long term. The energy and financial markets were closed for the weekend, so they’ve given us relatively subdued feedback on the events. It will be “interesting” to see on Monday how...
Why gold is a long-term winning and safe bet
The argument for owning gold for the long term comes down to simple supply and demand. Unlike the world’s supply of fiat currencies where supply will soar as the world’s indebted countries–just about everyone–print more money to pay their bills, the global...
Would you buy a 100-year AI bond even from Google?
Alphabet/Google (G00G) borrowed another $20 billion in its biggest ever U.S. dollar bond sale on Monday. And that’s just the beginning. The company is also planning debut deals in Switzerland and the UK. Including the sale of 100-year bonds. Drum role, please: That...
Will earnings this week be enough to restore tech leadership in the market?
A week of Big Tech earnings reports will confirm or reverse what sure looks like a sector rotation away from tech shares and into metal company stocks. The group known as the Magnificent Seven–Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft...
Could memory chip shortages, price hikes put tech earnings at risk?
Prices for memory chips are forecast to soar in 2026. but what just as bad/even worse it looks like chip customers are looking at serious supply shortages during the year. Higher prices and supply shortages could be enough to put earnings at risk at some high multiple...
Atlantic wind projects are back on again–but for how long? Time to buy more EQNR
As I read about the latest attempt by the Trump Administration to shut down wind energy projects off the Atlantic Coast, I kept thinking about Laurel and Hardy’s great short “Two Tars.” The “boys” eventually lead the complete demolition of the cars in a traffic...
The road to rare earth independence runs through Lynas and MP Materials
If the United States (and other technology economies such as Japan and Europe) are serious about reducing China’s dominance in the crucial minerals called rare earths (and I believe they are), then you need to realize as an investor that in the next five years all...
I’m buying gold on the dip
As I wrote in yesterday’s post, I don’t trust the optimism in stocks as a result of votes to reopen the government. This agreement does nothing to fix the weakness in the dollar as a result of the huge deficits engendered by the tax cuts for the wealthiest pushed...
Pick #7 for my Energy Crisis Special Report: EQNR
From my 10 picks for the 3 energy crises Special Report on my subscription see JubakAM.Com. My picks for The Scramble crisis: Pick #7: Equinox (EQNR) Picking an oil stock for the energy future seems, well, counter-intuitive. Isn’t oil the energy past? Yes, indeed, but...
This week’s China deal parade begins–look for a chance to add gold on weakness
Heading into Thursday’s high profile meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping the White House has announced that negotiators have reached a framework for a trade deal to avert additional U.S. 100% tariffs that President Donald Trump...
My sixth pick for the energy crisis: CCJ
Yesterday in my Special Report on the energy crisis on my subscription site JubakAM.Com I made Cameco my sixth pick. Third, the intense competition to lock up sources of decently priced and reliable electricity: Pick #6: Cameco (CCJ))
My fifth pick for my energy crisis Special Report is GNRC
Pick #5 for my energy crisis Special Report on my subscription site JubajAM.com is Generac GNRC) Generac’s brand is synonymous with the home standby generator category. The company’s market share in the category is about 75% today and has been over 70% for the last...
My fourth pick for my Energy Crises Special Report: SMNEY
Pick #4 for my energy crisis Special Report on my subscription site JubakAM.com is Siemens Energy (SMNEY.) Think about the state of the electricity grid in the United States and pretty much everywhere in the world over the next decade.The grid will be stressed by the...
Walmart pops 7% in two days on news that it will sell stuff on ChatGPT–here’s what that means for the AI bubble/boom
Walmart (WMT) will “team” up with OpenAI to enable shoppers to browse and purchase its products on ChatGPT. Users will be able to shop Walmart’s catalog directly on ChatGPT by clicking a “buy” button.The catalog includes apparel, entertainment, packaged food and...
For the week ahead, expect gold to be the winner from the shutdown
The government shutdown will push gold past $4,000 an ounce. That would be a double in less than two years. Gold closed at $3908 an ounce on Friday. Gold was hot before the shutdown because it benefits from lower interest rates that reduce the opportunity cost of...
Is Walmart the perfect retail stock for this economy? Adding it to my Jubak Picks Portfolio
I think last week’s 3.17% drop in Walmart (WMT) shares is an opportunity to buy the stock of a retailer that seem perfectly matched with this economy. Tariff increases, an up tick in inflation and a slowing economy have left consumers strapped and looking for...
Watch my new YouTube video: Hot Money Moves NOW Short the 30-year Treasury
Today’s Hot Money Moves NOW video is Short the 30-year treasury. In my last video, I talked about how complacent the market seems—but one area where there’s definitely no complacency is the long end of the bond market, especially the 30-year Treasuries....
Shares of BYD plunge as global EV price war gets hotter
BYD (BYDDY or BYDDF), China’s No. 1 selling car brand tumbled 9.3 at the close today%, while peers Li Auto, Great Wall Motor and Geely Automobile Holding dropped more than 5% on an intensifying price war in the electric vehicle sector. BYD is offering discounts on 22...
Adding an ETF to short the 30-year Treasury
I’m adding shares of the ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBF) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio and to the Volatility Portfolios on my subscription JubakAM.Com site tomorrow, May 28, as a play in the continued decline in prices at the long end of the Treasury market....
It’s definitely a trend: 3 more bellwether companies rescind guidance
Ford Motor (F), Cummins (CMI), and Mattel (MAT) are the latest companies to pull their revenue and earnings guidance for the rest of 2025 because of uncertainty introduced by the Trump tariffs. All three companies withdrew guidance for future quarters after announcing...
More news likely to keep AI rally going in China–adding Alibaba to my portfolios
Ant Group, backed by Alibaba’s Jack Ma, has announced that it has used Chinese-made semiconductors to train AI models that would cut costs by 20%. Ant Group, formerly Ant Financial and the owner of Alipay, the world’s largest digital payment platform, used Chinese...Buying more Tencent ADRs for my portfolios
Quite a change in the color of the ink. I’ve owned China’s Tencent (the TCEHY ADRs), the world’s biggest computer game company, in my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio since January 3. 2022. I spent lot of 2024 looking at red ink in the position–and experiencing...
Getting ahead of selling in this market is like playing Whac-a-mole–2 more sells
I’m selling Danaher (DHR) and RTX (RTX) out of my Jubak Picks and Dividend portfolios, respectively, in an attempt to get ahead of some of the likely fallout from policy moves by the Trump Administration. And in order to sit out as much of current market volatility as...
Even the best retail stocks aren’t beating fears of a slowdown: I’m selling Walmart and Costco
When the avalanche is roaring down the hill, it really doesn’t matter if you’re wearing the best-rated snow boots. With fears of an economic slowdown punishing the market today, I think it’s more than time to sell my Jubak Picks positions in Walmart (WMT) and Costco...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Retail flashing red
Today’s video is Retail Flashing Red. In the past week we’ve seen a cascade of negative news from the retail sector. Macy’s announced projected comparable store sales would be “down slightly” for 2025, and Target expected flat comparable store...
Two sells before the tariffs start–more to come, I suspect
Stocks moved down slightly on Friday–with the Standard & Poor’s 500 off 0.50% and the NASDAQ Composite down 0.28%–as investors started to revise their belief that President Donald Trump wasn’t really serious about raising tariffs. And they’re down...
This week the earnings parade moves into full march speed
This week it’s earnings, earnings, earnings. From the tech giants and more. And this week, we’ll discover three things. First, are tech company earnings as good as the market clearly expects. I think that with the exception of Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) the...
Tough road ahead for farmers and food commodity prices–I’m selling some farm stock positions
U.S. farmers harvested some of the largest corn and soybean crops in history this year. The timing couldn’t be much worse for farm incomes and commodity prices. And for shares of farm stocks. Big harvests weigh on crop prices because plentiful supply depresses prices....Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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