Pick your poison: central bank meetings or Magnificent 7 earnings
This coming big potentially market-moving news on two fronts. Potentially. One of the two news flows is much more likely than the other to actually move stocks First, it’s central bank week. The Federal Reserve and its peers in the Euro Zone and Japan will probably...
Wait–there’s much more AI debt to worry about–there’s $1.65 trillion off the books
A number of readers pointed out that my piece–“It’s not just Treasuries–how about the rout from AI debt at Oracle?”–on the soaring debt at Oracle from its spending on the AI infrastructure build out was much too optimistic. Besides the danger...
It’s not just Treasuries–how about the rout from AI debt at Oracle?
On Thursday Oracle’s (ORCL) credit default swaps spiked to record highs. Investors are worried at the size of Oracle’s debt load. And wonder if profits will arrive early enough to meet the debt burden. Oracle isn’t an isolated worry–it’s just the poster child...
Individual investors fall out of love with the Magnificent Seven
Retail investors’ activity in the technology stocks known as the “Magnificent Seven” hit a four-year low in recent days after having been muted for months, according to Citigroup equity strategists. Retail traders were responsible for just 6% of total trading over the...
Coming soon, DeepSeek V4: the next big test for AI stocks, tech sector, and the entire market
I’m writing this while waiting for Nvidia’s earnings report. I’m interested to see if the company addresses the DeepSeek challenge. China’s AI disruptor DeepSeek is preparing to introduce a new model. Reuters had initially reported that DeepSeek would launch its...
Will earnings this week be enough to restore tech leadership in the market?
A week of Big Tech earnings reports will confirm or reverse what sure looks like a sector rotation away from tech shares and into metal company stocks. The group known as the Magnificent Seven–Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft...
Could memory chip shortages, price hikes put tech earnings at risk?
Prices for memory chips are forecast to soar in 2026. but what just as bad/even worse it looks like chip customers are looking at serious supply shortages during the year. Higher prices and supply shortages could be enough to put earnings at risk at some high multiple...
This market has an AI problem–AI companies aren’t making money
Remember the good old days–say, 2023–when all you had to do was slap AI in the name of a company and the stock would soar? I kept waiting for AI Burgers made from AI cows, or AI Shoes, which used AI machine learning algorithms to tell you what size shoe...
Another week of tech stock weakness ahead
I expect technology sector weakness to continue this week with earnings worries still unanswered. What could put an end to selling in tech stocks? The NASDAQ 100 is down almost 4% in the last week. Certainly earnings news that showed earnings growth at the companies...
Brookfield Renewable pops on Microsoft supply deal
Microsoft will buy more than 10.5 GW of clean energy from Brookfield Asset Management and its Brookfield Renewable unit (BEPC), the companies announced on Wednesday, May 1. Shares of Brookfield Renewable were up 5.13% today, May 2, on the news. I added Brookfield...It’s a make or break earnings week for tech
I’m sure you’ve noticed. The technology sector, which led the stock market rally in 2023 and in the early days of 2024, is in a slump. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) tumbled 6.27% last week and is down 7.16% in the last month. For 2024 to date, as of the...
Nvidia lifts most but not all tech boats
Yesterday, Thursday, February 22, Nvidia (NVDA) gained 16.40% at the close after beating Wall Street expectations on earnings and revenue after the market close on Wednesday. And then raising guidance for the rest of 2024. I think it’s safe to say we’re in the midst...Microsoft beats on earnings, but stock is flat
It is perhaps too early to draw meaningful conclusions, but Microsoft’s failure to jump on better than expected earnings sure seems like more evidence that this is a market priced to perfection. After the close today, January 30, Microsoft reported fiscal second...
Rally or bear trap: Concentration in megacap tech stocks reaches a record high
I’m trying to decide if we’re watching a legitimate rally or a classic bear trap. If this rally is real, and likely to run for a while, investors should be putting cash to work even at market highs. If it’s a bear trap–you know one of those...
Tech earnings take spotlight this week–but we also get consumer and oil company reports
Hope you like earnings news. This week brings a ton of third-quarter earnings reports with news from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet quite capable of moving the entire market. We’ll also get more consumer company (Coca-Cola and Kimberly-Clark for...
I’ll be selling Nvidia out of my Volatility Portfolio (on my JAM subscription site) tomorrow
I’m going to take advantage of today’s pop in Nvidia (NVDA) to sell the shares out of my very short-term Volatility Portfolio tomorrow on my subscription JAM.com site, Tuesday, October 2. The shares closed up at the close today at $447.82, a gain of 2.95%...
My 10 stocks for a core portfolio–you’ll have to sign up as a member (it’s free) to read the post with all the “why’s” in the Jim’s Extra section of this site
I think a well-constructed portfolio should resemble an onion. (Yes, to continue the analogy, it may make you cry in the short term, but the end result after cooking time is yummy.) At the center of that onion is a core built of stocks with extremely high,...
Your 10 Best Stocks for a Core Portfolio–and the “Why” for each pick
I think a well-constructed portfolio should resemble an onion. (Yes, to continue the analogy, it may make you cry in the short term, but the end result after cooking time is yummy.) At the center of that onion is a core built of stocks with extremely high,...My 10 Stocks for the AI Gold Rush–Why these picks?
Artificial intelligence really is a paradigm-breaking, transformative technology. Right now, investors are so enthusiastic about the sector, especially the obvious leader Nvidia (NVDA), that we’re looking at a potential bubble that will collapse with much...
Microsoft soars on earnings, so I’m selling the shares I bought for my Volatility Portfolio on my subscription site (but keeping other positions)
Back on March 24, I added shares of Microsoft (MSFT) to my Volatility Portfolio on my subscription JubakAM.com site on the thinking that in a quarter when earnings were projected to be down for the Standard & Poor’s 500 as a whole, reliable technology...
Microsoft launches AI-enhanced version of its search engine Bing; Google responds with Bard
This isn’t exactly unexpected. Microsoft (MSFT) today unveiled new versions of its Bing search engine and Edge browser powered by the newest artificial intelligence technology from ChatGPT maker OpenAI. Microsoft recently invested $10 billion in OpenAI. “This...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Microsoft
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-twenty-ninth YouTube video: Quick Pick Microsoft This week’s Quick Pick: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT). Microsoft came out with earnings on Tuesday (shortly after filming this video). The earnings were expected to be disappointing as...
Wall Street has second thoughts on yesterday’s Microsoft earnings
Yesterday, shares of Microsoft (MSFT) rose by more than 4.6% on an earnings report for the December quarter that showed the company slightly beating analyst estimates on earnings and training only slightly on revenue. Today, investors and traders had second thoughts....
Microsoft reportedly plans to cut 11,000 jobs; this is a serious indicator for the economy
Granted these are all reports from outside news sources but there are a number of them. Where there’s smoke there might well be fire. U.K. broadcaster Sky News has reported that Microsoft plans to cut about 5% of its workforce or about 11,000 roles. Bloomberg...
Microsoft beats but tumbles on showdown in cloud revenue
Microsoft (MSFT) managed to beat Wall Street earnings estimates for its fiscal first quarter, reporting earnings of $2.35 a share versus the $2.29 expected by analysts after the market close on October 25. But the stock is down strongly today, October 26, on the...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Earnings Not as Bad as They Could Be
My one-hundred-and-sixty-second YouTube video “Earnings Not as Bad as They Could Be” went up today. Microsoft (MSFT) serves as my example. We’re seeing some companies that, despite very meager earnings growth, give investors the impression that...
A very busy week ahead–Ukraine and commodities, tech stock earnings, and, of course, the Fed on interest rates
What a week ahead. I’d expect speculation about what the Federal Reserve will say on Wednesday to dominate a very lengthy slate of market news. No real suspense about whether or not the Fed will raise rates at its July 27 meeting. The central bank has made it...
Microsoft beats earnings estimates on cloud computing
On Tuesday, April 26, Microsoft (MSFT) reported net income of $16.73 billion or $2.22 share for the company’s fiscal third quarter. That was up from net income of $15.46 billion or $2.03 a share in the third quarter of fiscal 2021. Wall Street analysts had...
Microsoft beats earnings estimates on cloud computing
On Tuesday, April 26, Microsoft (MSFT) reported net income of $16.73 billion or $2.22 share for the company’s fiscal third quarter. That was up from net income of $15.46 billion or $2.03 a share in the third quarter of fiscal 2021. Wall Street analysts had...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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