Adding an ETF to short the 30-year Treasury
I’m adding shares of the ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBF) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio and to the Volatility Portfolios on my subscription JubakAM.Com site tomorrow, May 28, as a play in the continued decline in prices at the long end of the Treasury market....
It’s definitely a trend: 3 more bellwether companies rescind guidance
Ford Motor (F), Cummins (CMI), and Mattel (MAT) are the latest companies to pull their revenue and earnings guidance for the rest of 2025 because of uncertainty introduced by the Trump tariffs. All three companies withdrew guidance for future quarters after announcing...
More news likely to keep AI rally going in China–adding Alibaba to my portfolios
Ant Group, backed by Alibaba’s Jack Ma, has announced that it has used Chinese-made semiconductors to train AI models that would cut costs by 20%. Ant Group, formerly Ant Financial and the owner of Alipay, the world’s largest digital payment platform, used Chinese...Buying more Tencent ADRs for my portfolios
Quite a change in the color of the ink. I’ve owned China’s Tencent (the TCEHY ADRs), the world’s biggest computer game company, in my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio since January 3. 2022. I spent lot of 2024 looking at red ink in the position–and experiencing...
Getting ahead of selling in this market is like playing Whac-a-mole–2 more sells
I’m selling Danaher (DHR) and RTX (RTX) out of my Jubak Picks and Dividend portfolios, respectively, in an attempt to get ahead of some of the likely fallout from policy moves by the Trump Administration. And in order to sit out as much of current market volatility as...
Even the best retail stocks aren’t beating fears of a slowdown: I’m selling Walmart and Costco
When the avalanche is roaring down the hill, it really doesn’t matter if you’re wearing the best-rated snow boots. With fears of an economic slowdown punishing the market today, I think it’s more than time to sell my Jubak Picks positions in Walmart (WMT) and Costco...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Retail flashing red
Today’s video is Retail Flashing Red. In the past week we’ve seen a cascade of negative news from the retail sector. Macy’s announced projected comparable store sales would be “down slightly” for 2025, and Target expected flat comparable store...
Two sells before the tariffs start–more to come, I suspect
Stocks moved down slightly on Friday–with the Standard & Poor’s 500 off 0.50% and the NASDAQ Composite down 0.28%–as investors started to revise their belief that President Donald Trump wasn’t really serious about raising tariffs. And they’re down...
This week the earnings parade moves into full march speed
This week it’s earnings, earnings, earnings. From the tech giants and more. And this week, we’ll discover three things. First, are tech company earnings as good as the market clearly expects. I think that with the exception of Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) the...
Tough road ahead for farmers and food commodity prices–I’m selling some farm stock positions
U.S. farmers harvested some of the largest corn and soybean crops in history this year. The timing couldn’t be much worse for farm incomes and commodity prices. And for shares of farm stocks. Big harvests weigh on crop prices because plentiful supply depresses prices....
Nvidia to get pop from CES and Huang keynote today
Last year, Nvidia’s stock experienced a 16% increase over the 10 days following the beginning of the huge Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. This year Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to deliver the opening keynote speech at 6:30 p.m. Las Vegas...
Adding Berkshire Hathaway as Pick #9 in my Special Report “10 New Stock Ideas for an Old Rally”
Today I added Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) as Pick #9 in my Special Report “10 New Stock Ideas for an Old Rally” on my JubakAM.com subscription site. Here’s what I wrote in that Special Report. Pick #9: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B). Warren Buffett now has Berkshire...
Gold is up today on Ukraine worries, but the trend points up for all of 2025
Gold will rally to a record next year on central-bank buying and U.S. interest rate cuts, according to Goldman Sachs. The investment bank listed the metal among top commodity trades for 2025. “Go for gold,” analysts said in a note, reiterating a target of $3,000 an...
Please watch my YouTube video: Quick Pick Goldman Sachs
Today’s Quick Pick is Goldman Sachs (GS). This is not a cheap stock. Goldman has had a good run in 2024 and is up 55% year to date. But this is the stock to use play the financial deregulation policies of the Trump administration. We’re moving from...
Nvidia to replace Intel in Dow Jones industrials Average–another catalyst for shares
AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) will join the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing chipmaker Intel (INTC), S&P Dow Jones Indices, the owner of the 127-year-old index, said late Friday. Nvidia’s (NVDA) is currently the world’s second-most valuable public company....
Watch my YouTube video: Quick Pick Fortinet
Today’s Quick Pick is Fortinet (FTNT). Fortinet is a cybersecurity company with a concentration in firewalls. They have about 15% of the firewall market. Firewall sales have a four or five year cycle as technology develops and companies need to upgrade their...
Today I added VMC as the third pick to my Special Report “10 new stock ideas for an old rally” on my subscription site
Here’s what I wrote today when I added Vulcan Materials to my Special Report “10 new stock ideas for a old rally” on my subscription JubakAM.com site. Pick #3; Vulcan Materials (VMC). As stock prices have kept climbing, it’s become harder and harder to find good...
Think about gold and gold miners as two different asset classes right now
I think you want to own gold–through something like the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD)–right now to profit from decreasing interest rates at most of the world’s central banks, from global macro uncertainty, from the possibility of domestic violence in the...
So what happened to the big market crash?
I think of Nvidia (NVDA) as this market’s warning indicator; it’s the canary in a coal mine; the bird that will die first if dangerous gases start to build up. So, yes, it’s important that Nvidia shares plunged from $134.91 on July 10 to $98.91 on August 7. And again...
Nvidia drops another 9.5% on the day
So much for my feeling on Monday that a 7% drop in Nvidia (NVDA) after the company’s August 28 earnings report was about as big a dip as investors would get and that it was time to buy Nvidia shares. The stock dropped another 9.5% on Tuesday. I’d sure like to have...
The argument for adding more gold even now
Gold hit a new all-time high yesterday of $2554 an ounce on the Comex for December delivery. Gold’s 20% or so gain in 2024vto date (as of August 26) is a result of strong central-bank buying plus Asian purchases plus anticipation that the Federal Reserve was about to...
Viking Therapeutics up 28% as obesity drug moves to Phase III trials
Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) has announced that its subcutaneous obesity drug candidate VK2735 is moving into Phase III development. Viking is currently preparing for an end-of-Phase II meeting with the Food & Drug Administration later this year. Just as...
Another week of tech stock weakness ahead
I expect technology sector weakness to continue this week with earnings worries still unanswered. What could put an end to selling in tech stocks? The NASDAQ 100 is down almost 4% in the last week. Certainly earnings news that showed earnings growth at the companies...
Visa beats on earnings as worldwide payments volume climbs by 8%
Tuesday, April 23, after the market close Visa (V) reported adjusted net income of $2.51 a share. That ws 7 cent a share more than the consensus of estimates from Wall Street analysts. Earnings rose 7% year-over-year in the quarter. Revenue climbed 10% from a year...
Tesla shocks Wall Street with size of quarterly sales drop
Yesterday, April 2, Tesla (TSLA) reported that it delivered just 386,810 vehicles in the first three months of the year. That was the biggest difference between actual sales and Wall Street sales estimates in data going back seven years, according to Bloomberg. Most...
Apple shareholders looking at an even more volatile six months–buy, sell, or hold (and when)
Apple (AAPL) is likely to take its shareholders on an even wilder ride in the next six months than they’ve been on since the December all-time high at $199.62. The end result, I think is likely to be a renewed rally beginning in the fall–if you can either hold...
Buy, sell, hold: Buy Novo Nordisk NVO
Back on February 20, I posted a YouTube video recommending a buy of Novo Nordisk (NVO). In the video, “Buy GLP-1,” I said that the stock, along with Eli Lilly (LLY) was riding the momentum of increased sales of GLP-1 drugs, originally developed to treat...
Need more GLP? Buying Viking Therapeutics on trial results
Yesterday, February 28, development-stage biotech Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) announced results from a Phase 2 trial of its GLP-1 weight-loss drug candidate that that showed the potential for the VK2735 compound to be best in class in the $36.5 billion (revenue) market...
Nvidia lifts most but not all tech boats
Yesterday, Thursday, February 22, Nvidia (NVDA) gained 16.40% at the close after beating Wall Street expectations on earnings and revenue after the market close on Wednesday. And then raising guidance for the rest of 2024. I think it’s safe to say we’re in the midst...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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